DATA DOMAIN INC (DDUP)
DATA DOMAIN INC (DDUP)
Company Name: DATA DOMAIN INC
Ticker Symbol: DDUP
Industry: COMPUTER-STORAGE DEVICES
Company Website: http://www.datadomain.com
Summary: Data Domain is a leading provider of Enterprise Protection Storage systems for disk backup and network-based disaster recovery. Data Domains Global C...more
Price (delayed by 20 minutes): $0.00
Number of Brokerage Firms Following Firm5
Analysts Recommending STRONG BUY1/5
Analysts Recommending BUY0/5
Analysts Recommending STRONG SELL2/5
Analysts Recommending SELL0/5
Analysts Recommending HOLD2/5


Company Overview and History


Company Overview
Data Domain is a leading provider of Enterprise Protection Storage systems for disk backup and network-based disaster recovery. Data Domains Global Compression, data invulnerability and replication technologies offer data reduction rates that enable new efficiencies in enterprise data protection. Data Domain delivers the performance, reliability and scalability to address the data protection needs of enterprises of all sizes. Data Domains products and solutions integrate into existing customer infrastructures and are compatible with leading enterprise backup software products.
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Recent Events





Reasons to Buy DATA DOMAIN INC



Investors Give Reasons to Buy




If You Think DATA DOMAIN INC Is a Buy, Post Your Reasons Below
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Analysts Recommending Buy


BrokerageAnalystZacks All
Star Rating
DateRecommendationTarget Price
NEEDHAM & CO. G HANUS 1 – 12/17/2008 BUY
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Reasons to Sell DATA DOMAIN INC



Investors Give Reasons to Sell




If You Think DATA DOMAIN INC Is a Sell, Post Your Reasons Below
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Analysts Recommending Sell


BrokerageAnalystZacks All
Star Rating
DateRecommendationTarget Price
NOBLE FINANCIAL G LOWY 5/26/2009 SELL
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Reasons to Hold DATA DOMAIN INC


Investors Give Reasons to Hold




If You Think DATA DOMAIN INC Is a Hold, Post Your Reasons Below
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Analysts Recommending Hold


BrokerageAnalystZacks All
Star Rating
DateRecommendationTarget Price

How Can I Decide if DATA DOMAIN INC Is a Buy or a Sell?





How Can I Decide if DATA DOMAIN INC Is a Buy or a Sell?
How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts For DATA DOMAIN INC?
What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?
Terms
Capital Structure, Solvency and Cash Flow
Governance, Social Responsibility and Employee Relations
Acquisitions, Divestitures and Joint Ventures
New Products or Opportunities
Questionable Practices
Recent and Upcoming Events
Major Risks


How Can I Decide if DATA DOMAIN INC Is a Buy or a Sell?
Follow the Experts...

There are 5 individual(s) in the US who know more about DATA DOMAIN INC and its stock price than almost anyone else

These 5 individual(s) are the 5 brokerage analysts who follow DATA DOMAIN INC and whose research is discussed above by Wiki posters who receive the research from these brokerage firms

To decide if you want to buy DATA DOMAIN INC, you could read the discussions above and see if you find a bull or bear argument for DATA DOMAIN INC that you think is compelling – or you might toss a coin.

To help you evaluate the credibility of the arguments made by an analyst, we have displayed the Zacks All Star Rating of the analyst after his/her name. Zacks rates analysts as 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 STAR analysts based on the performance of their stock recommendations. The analysts with 5 STAR ratings have had the best performance.

For more information on these Zacks Analyst ratings, go to http://www.zacks.com


...or Make Your Own Non-Consensus Decision

However, we believe that there is a better way to make stock selection decisions, and this Wiki is dedicated to this technique.

The better way – which is taught to all MBA students, and used by professional investors – is not easy. But it is one of the few investment techniques that actually does work. The better way requires you to find errors in the consensus forecasts of revenue and EPS.

Until the creation of this Wiki, it has been virtually impossible for an individual investor to develop accurate non consensus revenue and earnings forecasts because no one individual has had enough information to accurately out-forecast the Wall Street analysts.

However, by using the Wiki to pool together the collaborative intelligence of large numbers of individuals who are familiar with the COMPUTER-STORAGE DEVICES Industry, with DATA DOMAIN INC, and with its suppliers and customers, we as a group do have a realistic chance of finding that nugget of accurate non-consensus information.

Warren Buffett finds these nuggets. This Wiki can help you find your own nuggets.

But this process can only work for those companies and industries with which you are very familiar. To apply this process to DATA DOMAIN INC, you need to focus on 2 questions:
  • Do I agree with the consensus estimate of the future revenue of DATA DOMAIN INC?
  • Do I agree with the consensus estimates of the EPS of DATA DOMAIN INC?

How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts for DATA DOMAIN INC?


How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts for DATA DOMAIN INC?
The following sections are designed to help Wiki users identify errors in the consensus revenue forecasts for the major DATA DOMAIN INC products. Below each consensus revenue forecast is a Wiki section reserved for users to discuss why these consensus forecasts may be high or low.

All consensus forecasts are provided by Zacks Investment Research.



Consensus Forecast of DATA DOMAIN INC Revenue in Millions
Fundamental Charts

DDUP Stock Chart by YCharts

2007A 2008A 2009E 2010E Annualized Growth

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

10/07

$123.62 $274.09 $367.75 $466.18 55.7%
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Consensus Forecast of DATA DOMAIN INC EPS
2007A 2008A 2009E 2010E 2011E

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

Dec-11

$0.20 $0.13 $0.13 $0.32 $0.42
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What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?


What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?
You Can Still Make an Effective Investment Decision

If you agree with the above consensus forecasts of revenue and of EPS, you can still make an effective investment decision by determining that a relative valuation metric is out of line.

Perhaps because of events taking place in the industry, or with other companies, you may feel that DATA DOMAIN INC is either undervalued or overvalued, should the consensus estimates of revenue and EPS be realized.

This section of the Wiki helps you think about valuation by comparing DATA DOMAIN INC to some of its peers using a number of standard relative valuation metrics. This section also includes a simple discounted cash flow model for DATA DOMAIN INC based on the consensus forecasts.

The following table should be your starting point. This shows P/E, P/Sales, and P/Cash Flow for DATA DOMAIN INC and for comparable companies.




INDUSTRY COMPARABLES

Revenue (mil)

Net Income (mil)

ROE

EPS Gr 5Yr Est

P/E F1

P/Sales

P/CF

DDUP (DATA DOMAIN INC)

$301.00

$20.10

2.6%

31%

248.78

6.8

112.0

Industry Mean

-1%

14%

22.40

1.4

10.2

S&P 500

39%

11%

15.87

1.5

9.4

HILL (DOT HILL SYS CP)

$274.00

($22.95)

-21.2%

0.1

HTCH (HUTCHINSON TECH)

$513.00

($235.68)

-17.6%

0.1

0.4

QTM (QUANTUM CP-DSSG)

$812.00

($367.07)

57.2%

20%

10.63

0.2

1.4

CF is operating cash flow plus after-tax interest expense.

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Dividend Discount Model for DATA DOMAIN INC

The two major techniques used by fundamental analysts to evaluate the value of a stock are the relative valuation metrics such as PE discussed above and the dividend discount model (DDM) or discounted cash flow model (DCF).

More information about these valuation-related topics is available here.

This reference answers most of the questions investors have when they first encounter these discount approaches to determining value, such as:

  1. What is the discount rate?
  2. Why does the DDM discount earnings and not dividends?
  3. How can I use a DDM if the company does not pay dividends?
  4. How do I set the terminal value? (applies only to DCF)
  5. How do I calculate cash flow to use the DCF model?

What Do Insiders and Institutional Owners Say about DATA DOMAIN INC?


Insiders and Institutional Owners Discuss Issues Here
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Industry Analysis


Industry Outlook for Major COMPUTER-STORAGE DEVICES Companies

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Last edited Wed Dec 03, 2008 04:57 AM
by ShaluSaraf (Zacks Investment Research)
DATA DOMAIN INC Role in the COMPUTER-STORAGE DEVICES Industry

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Company Specific Investment Issues


The issues discussed in the sections below generally comprise the bulk of the content in a typical research report. Understanding these subjects is certainly important when making an investment decision for DATA DOMAIN INC.

However, to provide the most value to Wiki users as you read and contribute to these discussions, please try and tie your comments back to their specific impact on forecasts of future Revenue, Net Income, EPS, or Cash Flow.

Discussion about Capital Structure / Solvency / Cash Flows Issues
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Discussion about Governance / Social Responsibility / Treatment of Employees
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Acquisitions/Divestures/Joint Ventures/Hot New Products/Exciting Opportunities
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Blow the Whistle
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Discussion about Upcoming Events to Watch for That Will Impact Stock Price
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Discussion about Major Risks
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Created by: WikiMigrationBot. Last Modification: Wednesday 24 of June, 2009 15:25:00 CDT by WikiMigrationBot.