GENTEK INC (GETI)
GENTEK INC (GETI)
Company Name: GENTEK INC
Ticker Symbol: GETI
Industry: MACHINERY-GEN INDUSTRIAL
Company Website: http://www.gentek-global.com
Price (delayed by 20 minutes): $0.00
Number of Brokerage Firms Following Firm0
Analysts Recommending STRONG BUY0/0
Analysts Recommending BUY0/0
Analysts Recommending STRONG SELL0/0
Analysts Recommending SELL0/0
Analysts Recommending HOLD0/0


Company Overview and History


Company Overview

Source: Zacks Investment Researchmake a comment about Company Overview



Recent Events





Reasons to Buy GENTEK INC



Investors Give Reasons to Buy




If You Think GENTEK INC Is a Buy, Post Your Reasons Below
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Analysts Recommending Buy


Reasons to Sell GENTEK INC



Investors Give Reasons to Sell




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Analysts Recommending Sell



Reasons to Hold GENTEK INC


Investors Give Reasons to Hold




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Analysts Recommending Hold


How Can I Decide if GENTEK INC Is a Buy or a Sell?





How Can I Decide if GENTEK INC Is a Buy or a Sell?
How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts For GENTEK INC?
What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?
Terms
Capital Structure, Solvency and Cash Flow
Governance, Social Responsibility and Employee Relations
Acquisitions, Divestitures and Joint Ventures
New Products or Opportunities
Questionable Practices
Recent and Upcoming Events
Major Risks


How Can I Decide if GENTEK INC Is a Buy or a Sell?
Follow the Experts...

There are 0 individual(s) in the US who know more about GENTEK INC and its stock price than almost anyone else

These 0 individual(s) are the 0 brokerage analysts who follow GENTEK INC and whose research is discussed above by Wiki posters who receive the research from these brokerage firms

To decide if you want to buy GENTEK INC, you could read the discussions above and see if you find a bull or bear argument for GENTEK INC that you think is compelling – or you might toss a coin.

To help you evaluate the credibility of the arguments made by an analyst, we have displayed the Zacks All Star Rating of the analyst after his/her name. Zacks rates analysts as 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 STAR analysts based on the performance of their stock recommendations. The analysts with 5 STAR ratings have had the best performance.

For more information on these Zacks Analyst ratings, go to http://www.zacks.com


...or Make Your Own Non-Consensus Decision

However, we believe that there is a better way to make stock selection decisions, and this Wiki is dedicated to this technique.

The better way – which is taught to all MBA students, and used by professional investors – is not easy. But it is one of the few investment techniques that actually does work. The better way requires you to find errors in the consensus forecasts of revenue and EPS.

Until the creation of this Wiki, it has been virtually impossible for an individual investor to develop accurate non consensus revenue and earnings forecasts because no one individual has had enough information to accurately out-forecast the Wall Street analysts.

However, by using the Wiki to pool together the collaborative intelligence of large numbers of individuals who are familiar with the MACHINERY-GEN INDUSTRIAL Industry, with GENTEK INC, and with its suppliers and customers, we as a group do have a realistic chance of finding that nugget of accurate non-consensus information.

Warren Buffett finds these nuggets. This Wiki can help you find your own nuggets.

But this process can only work for those companies and industries with which you are very familiar. To apply this process to GENTEK INC, you need to focus on 2 questions:
  • Do I agree with the consensus estimate of the future revenue of GENTEK INC?
  • Do I agree with the consensus estimates of the EPS of GENTEK INC?

How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts for GENTEK INC?


How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts for GENTEK INC?
The following sections are designed to help Wiki users identify errors in the consensus revenue forecasts for the major GENTEK INC products. Below each consensus revenue forecast is a Wiki section reserved for users to discuss why these consensus forecasts may be high or low.

All consensus forecasts are provided by Zacks Investment Research.



Consensus Forecast of GENTEK INC Revenue in Millions
Fundamental Charts

GETI Stock Chart by YCharts

2006A 2007A 2008A Annualized Growth

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

08/06

$611.40 $608.20 $608.00 -0.3%
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Consensus Forecast of GENTEK INC EPS
2005A 2006A 2007A 2008A

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

$1.95 $1.81 $3.43 $4.80
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What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?


What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?
You Can Still Make an Effective Investment Decision

If you agree with the above consensus forecasts of revenue and of EPS, you can still make an effective investment decision by determining that a relative valuation metric is out of line.

Perhaps because of events taking place in the industry, or with other companies, you may feel that GENTEK INC is either undervalued or overvalued, should the consensus estimates of revenue and EPS be realized.

This section of the Wiki helps you think about valuation by comparing GENTEK INC to some of its peers using a number of standard relative valuation metrics. This section also includes a simple discounted cash flow model for GENTEK INC based on the consensus forecasts.

The following table should be your starting point. This shows P/E, P/Sales, and P/Cash Flow for GENTEK INC and for comparable companies.




INDUSTRY COMPARABLES

Revenue (mil)

Net Income (mil)

ROE

EPS Gr 5Yr Est

P/E F1

P/Sales

P/CF

GETI (GENTEK INC)

$571.00

($84.50)

221.8%

0.5

3.4

Industry Mean

13%

11%

18.48

0.8

6.6

S&P 500

28%

10%

18.65

1.7

10.3

GTLS (CHART INDUSTRIE)

$553.00

$79.31

19.0%

15%

12.82

1.0

5.6

CFX (COLFAX CORP)

$578.00

$35.26

24.0%

8%

11.98

0.8

TNC (TENNANT CO)

$616.00

($41.60)

6.1%

18%

63.63

0.8

9.4

CF is operating cash flow plus after-tax interest expense.

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Dividend Discount Model for GENTEK INC

The two major techniques used by fundamental analysts to evaluate the value of a stock are the relative valuation metrics such as PE discussed above and the dividend discount model (DDM) or discounted cash flow model (DCF).

More information about these valuation-related topics is available here.

This reference answers most of the questions investors have when they first encounter these discount approaches to determining value, such as:

  1. What is the discount rate?
  2. Why does the DDM discount earnings and not dividends?
  3. How can I use a DDM if the company does not pay dividends?
  4. How do I set the terminal value? (applies only to DCF)
  5. How do I calculate cash flow to use the DCF model?

What Do Insiders and Institutional Owners Say about GENTEK INC?


Insiders and Institutional Owners Discuss Issues Here
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Industry Analysis


Industry Outlook for Major MACHINERY-GEN INDUSTRIAL Companies

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The auto industry globally is highly cyclical and vulnerable to sudden shifts in consumer sentiment, employment, interest rates, and general economic activity. Growth in the auto industry remains lackluster, given the weak demand and pricing. Moreover, pressure from OEMs to reduce costs continues. Generally, if a supplier is unable to generate sufficient cost savings to offset customer cost reductions, its margins could be affected.


Last edited Fri Nov 20, 2009 12:45 PM
by BDas (Zacks Investment Research)
GENTEK INC Role in the MACHINERY-GEN INDUSTRIAL Industry

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Company Specific Investment Issues


The issues discussed in the sections below generally comprise the bulk of the content in a typical research report. Understanding these subjects is certainly important when making an investment decision for GENTEK INC.

However, to provide the most value to Wiki users as you read and contribute to these discussions, please try and tie your comments back to their specific impact on forecasts of future Revenue, Net Income, EPS, or Cash Flow.

Discussion about Capital Structure / Solvency / Cash Flows Issues
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Discussion about Governance / Social Responsibility / Treatment of Employees
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Acquisitions/Divestures/Joint Ventures/Hot New Products/Exciting Opportunities
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Blow the Whistle
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Discussion about Upcoming Events to Watch for That Will Impact Stock Price
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Discussion about Major Risks
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Created by: WikiMigrationBot. Last Modification: Wednesday 19 of August, 2009 10:06:58 CDT by WikiMigrationBot.