PHARMANET DEVLP (PDGI)
PHARMANET DEVLP (PDGI)
Company Name: PHARMANET DEVLP
Ticker Symbol: PDGI
Industry: MEDICAL-DRUGS
Company Website: http://www.pharmanet.com/
Summary: PharmaNet Development Group, Inc. is an international drug development services company offering a comprehensive range of clinical development, clinic...more
Price (delayed by 20 minutes): $0.00
Number of Brokerage Firms Following Firm3
Analysts Recommending STRONG BUY0/3
Analysts Recommending BUY0/3
Analysts Recommending STRONG SELL0/3
Analysts Recommending SELL0/3
Analysts Recommending HOLD3/3


Company Overview and History


Company Overview
PharmaNet Development Group, Inc. is an international drug development services company offering a comprehensive range of clinical development, clinical and bioanalytical laboratory, and consulting services to the branded pharmaceutical, biotechnology, generic drug and medical device industries.
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Recent Events





Reasons to Buy PHARMANET DEVLP



Investors Give Reasons to Buy




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Analysts Recommending Buy


Reasons to Sell PHARMANET DEVLP



Investors Give Reasons to Sell




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Analysts Recommending Sell



Reasons to Hold PHARMANET DEVLP


Investors Give Reasons to Hold




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Analysts Recommending Hold


BrokerageAnalystZacks All
Star Rating
DateRecommendationTarget Price

How Can I Decide if PHARMANET DEVLP Is a Buy or a Sell?





How Can I Decide if PHARMANET DEVLP Is a Buy or a Sell?
How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts For PHARMANET DEVLP?
What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?
Terms
Capital Structure, Solvency and Cash Flow
Governance, Social Responsibility and Employee Relations
Acquisitions, Divestitures and Joint Ventures
New Products or Opportunities
Questionable Practices
Recent and Upcoming Events
Major Risks


How Can I Decide if PHARMANET DEVLP Is a Buy or a Sell?
Follow the Experts...

There are 3 individual(s) in the US who know more about PHARMANET DEVLP and its stock price than almost anyone else

These 3 individual(s) are the 3 brokerage analysts who follow PHARMANET DEVLP and whose research is discussed above by Wiki posters who receive the research from these brokerage firms

To decide if you want to buy PHARMANET DEVLP, you could read the discussions above and see if you find a bull or bear argument for PHARMANET DEVLP that you think is compelling – or you might toss a coin.

To help you evaluate the credibility of the arguments made by an analyst, we have displayed the Zacks All Star Rating of the analyst after his/her name. Zacks rates analysts as 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 STAR analysts based on the performance of their stock recommendations. The analysts with 5 STAR ratings have had the best performance.

For more information on these Zacks Analyst ratings, go to http://www.zacks.com


...or Make Your Own Non-Consensus Decision

However, we believe that there is a better way to make stock selection decisions, and this Wiki is dedicated to this technique.

The better way – which is taught to all MBA students, and used by professional investors – is not easy. But it is one of the few investment techniques that actually does work. The better way requires you to find errors in the consensus forecasts of revenue and EPS.

Until the creation of this Wiki, it has been virtually impossible for an individual investor to develop accurate non consensus revenue and earnings forecasts because no one individual has had enough information to accurately out-forecast the Wall Street analysts.

However, by using the Wiki to pool together the collaborative intelligence of large numbers of individuals who are familiar with the MEDICAL-DRUGS Industry, with PHARMANET DEVLP, and with its suppliers and customers, we as a group do have a realistic chance of finding that nugget of accurate non-consensus information.

Warren Buffett finds these nuggets. This Wiki can help you find your own nuggets.

But this process can only work for those companies and industries with which you are very familiar. To apply this process to PHARMANET DEVLP, you need to focus on 2 questions:
  • Do I agree with the consensus estimate of the future revenue of PHARMANET DEVLP?
  • Do I agree with the consensus estimates of the EPS of PHARMANET DEVLP?

How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts for PHARMANET DEVLP?


How Can I Find Errors in the Consensus Forecasts for PHARMANET DEVLP?
The following sections are designed to help Wiki users identify errors in the consensus revenue forecasts for the major PHARMANET DEVLP products. Below each consensus revenue forecast is a Wiki section reserved for users to discuss why these consensus forecasts may be high or low.

All consensus forecasts are provided by Zacks Investment Research.



Consensus Forecast of PHARMANET DEVLP Revenue in Millions
Fundamental Charts

PDGI Stock Chart by YCharts

2006A 2007A 2008A 2009E Annualized Growth

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

09/06

$406.96 $470.26 $451.45 $378.99 -2.3%
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Consensus Forecast of PHARMANET DEVLP EPS
2005A 2006A 2007A 2008E 2009E

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

$1.88 $0.72 $1.35 ($0.35) $0.35
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What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?


What if I Agree with Consensus Forecasts?
You Can Still Make an Effective Investment Decision

If you agree with the above consensus forecasts of revenue and of EPS, you can still make an effective investment decision by determining that a relative valuation metric is out of line.

Perhaps because of events taking place in the industry, or with other companies, you may feel that PHARMANET DEVLP is either undervalued or overvalued, should the consensus estimates of revenue and EPS be realized.

This section of the Wiki helps you think about valuation by comparing PHARMANET DEVLP to some of its peers using a number of standard relative valuation metrics. This section also includes a simple discounted cash flow model for PHARMANET DEVLP based on the consensus forecasts.

The following table should be your starting point. This shows P/E, P/Sales, and P/Cash Flow for PHARMANET DEVLP and for comparable companies.




INDUSTRY COMPARABLES

Revenue (mil)

Net Income (mil)

ROE

EPS Gr 5Yr Est

P/E F1

P/Sales

P/CF

PDGI (PHARMANET DEVLP)

$451.00

($215.39)

-117.4%

14.12

0.2

2.2

Industry Mean

-12%

14%

10.94

8.9

7.0

S&P 500

26%

12%

12.55

1.2

7.9

CBST (CUBIST PHARM)

$434.00

$170.47

65.4%

27%

11.87

2.2

7.6

CHTT (CHATTEM INC)

$455.00

$66.29

32.7%

14%

12.21

2.5

12.8

MRX (MEDICIS PHARM-A)

$515.00

$8.79

15.0%

19%

11.02

1.4

5.8

CF is operating cash flow plus after-tax interest expense.

Discussion by Wiki Users of Relative Valuation
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Dividend Discount Model for PHARMANET DEVLP

The two major techniques used by fundamental analysts to evaluate the value of a stock are the relative valuation metrics such as PE discussed above and the dividend discount model (DDM) or discounted cash flow model (DCF).

More information about these valuation-related topics is available here.

This reference answers most of the questions investors have when they first encounter these discount approaches to determining value, such as:

  1. What is the discount rate?
  2. Why does the DDM discount earnings and not dividends?
  3. How can I use a DDM if the company does not pay dividends?
  4. How do I set the terminal value? (applies only to DCF)
  5. How do I calculate cash flow to use the DCF model?

What Do Insiders and Institutional Owners Say about PHARMANET DEVLP?


Insiders and Institutional Owners Discuss Issues Here
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Industry Analysis


Industry Outlook for Major MEDICAL-DRUGS Companies

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Medical continues to be the leading sector in terms of positive earnings estimate revisions. The comparatively low level of economic sensitivity is a big factor for why the sector ranks so well.

Multiple companies within the sector have reported good third-quarter earnings and raised guidance. These bullish events have led to positive earnings estimate revisions by brokerage analysts. They have also allowed Medical-Biomedical/Genetics and Medical-Generic Drugs to be among the best ranked industry groups.

Investors who are interested in both groups should note that company stories matter more than in other groups. The reason is that drug approval and drug safety issues are factors that can significantly influence a stock's price. Therefore, a greater focus on company selection is required than in other industry groups.
 
President Obama intends to allow the federal government to negotiate on drug prices, he also wants universal coverage. It is possible that drug companies could end up seeing a greater amount of business, albeit at lower margins.


Last edited Tue Apr 07, 2009 01:41 AM
by ShaliniSinghal (Zacks Investment Research)
PHARMANET DEVLP Role in the MEDICAL-DRUGS Industry

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Company Specific Investment Issues


The issues discussed in the sections below generally comprise the bulk of the content in a typical research report. Understanding these subjects is certainly important when making an investment decision for PHARMANET DEVLP.

However, to provide the most value to Wiki users as you read and contribute to these discussions, please try and tie your comments back to their specific impact on forecasts of future Revenue, Net Income, EPS, or Cash Flow.

Discussion about Capital Structure / Solvency / Cash Flows Issues
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Discussion about Governance / Social Responsibility / Treatment of Employees
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Acquisitions/Divestures/Joint Ventures/Hot New Products/Exciting Opportunities
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Blow the Whistle
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Discussion about Upcoming Events to Watch for That Will Impact Stock Price
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Discussion about Major Risks
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Created by: WikiMigrationBot. Last Modification: Tuesday 16 of June, 2009 06:11:50 CDT by WikiMigrationBot.